The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras U20 45.9%
Draw 25.3%
Red Bull Bragantino U20 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.5%
22.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
24%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palmeiras U20's form might have worsened.
Red Bull Bragantino U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palmeiras U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino U20 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Palmeiras U20 - Red Bull Bragantino U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kauan Lima (G) 6. Andre Lucas 11. Erick Bele 10. Felipe Teresa 9. Heittor Vinicius 2. Joao Gabriel 5. Joao Paulo 4. Kone M. 8. Luis Pacheco 3. Thiago Pimenta (C) 7. Vinicius
1. Gabriel J. (G) 5. Bahia Leo 4. Breno 7. Filipinho 10. Gabriel Lopes 9. Jhuan 8. Rafael Lima (C) 3. Rodrigues Ferreira T. 2. Tavares R. 6. Victor Gabriel 11. Yuri Alves
Substitutes
25. Antonio 13. Benedetti 20. Eduardo Conceicao 16. Kaua Nunes 21. Kidani G. 23. Luccas Ramon 12. Luis Saboia 15. Niakson 18. Ramon Riquelme 17. Riquelme Fillipi 14. Souza L. F. (G) 19. Victor Gabriel
18. Alves S. 23. Caique 16. Costa G. 20. Davi Lucas 15. Francisco Samuel 17. Guilherme 14. Joanderson 22. Luis Gustavo 12. Monteiro R. (G) 13. Rosa L. 19. Taubate 21. Thalyson
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Filipinho ↓, Thalyson ↑,
47', Luis Pacheco 🟨,
63', Kone M. ↓, Benedetti ↑,
63', Joao Gabriel ↓, Luis Saboia ↑,
64', Erick Bele ↓, Riquelme Fillipi ↑,
65', Yuri Alves ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Vinicius ⚽,
73', Felipe Teresa 🟨,
75', Felipe Teresa ↓, Kidani G. ↑,
75', Heittor Vinicius ↓, Victor Gabriel ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Riquelme Fillipi (Penalty Awarded),
86', Vinicius ↓, Luccas Ramon ↑,
90', Joao Paulo 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 3-3.
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 2.
Palmeiras U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
RB Bragantino U20 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Palmeiras U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Palmeiras U20 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 53.69%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.