Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: CCM Kirumba Stadium (Mwanza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Pamba		Mashujaa

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.98	3.85
	2	2.9	3.85
	2.09	2.87	3.94	Watch
	1.98	2.96	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.25)	2.93 ↑ (2.83)	3.89 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamba
45.4%

Draw
31.1%

Mashujaa
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

31.9%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pamba's performance.

Mashujaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pamba - Mashujaa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Amour A. (G) 3. Abraham I. 5. Eshihanda B. 11. Ibrahim N. 36. Jafari H. 19. Lwasa P. 2. Mangalo A. 21. Mayombya Z. 23. Mwashinga J. (C) 24. Naftal K. 14. Yonta Camara A.	30. Munthari P. (G) 4. Jackson S. 19. Kibaya J. 66. Mgunda I. 7. Mohamed A. 6. Mtuwi B. (C) 20. Mwakinyuke M. 5. Stambuli I. 28. Ulomi D. R. 17. Vuai M. 29. Zakaria A.
Substitutes
. Charles E. . Kamara M. (G) . Kasindi P. . Lutonja H. . Nakibinge J. . Oyugi Siwa S. . Samamba M. . Tegisi M.	3. Abdallah O. . Cheda H. 18. Johola E. (G) 8. Kihimbwa S. . Lyanga D. 27. Madeleke S. . Ngushi C. 33. Yusuph K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Lwasa P. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Mtuwi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mwashinga J. ↓, Kunambi K. ↑,
47', Naftal K. 🟨,
57', Mgunda I. ↓, Kihimbwa S. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Lwasa P. ⚽, Ibrahim N. (A),
66', Vuai M. ↓, Ngushi C. ↑,
66', Lwasa P. ↓, Tegisi M. ↑,
80', Ibrahim N. ↓, Oyugi Siwa S. ↑,
80', Lwasa P. ↓, Tegisi M. ↑,

Preview

Pamba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pamba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pamba won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
28.09.25	Pamba - TRA United	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Young Africans - Pamba	3:0 ✺
18.09.25	Namungo - Pamba	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Pamba - Kinondoni MC	1:1 ✺
18.06.25	Pamba - JKT Tanzania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLTTW
- Mashujaa FC
Tanzanian Premier League
30.09.25	Singida Black Stars - Mashujaa	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mashujaa - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
18.09.25	Mashujaa - JKT Tanzania	1:1 ✺
12.05.25	Kagera Sugar - Mashujaa	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Simba - Mashujaa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
19.02.25	Mashujaa - Pamba	2:0
21.09.24	Pamba - Mashujaa	2:2

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