Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 29

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: CCM Kirumba Stadium (Mwanza)


	Pamba		JKT Tanzania

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.85	3.50
	2.08	2.92	3.5
	4	4.29	1.59
	3.66	5.29	1.6	Watch
	4.96	4.38	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.43)	3.95 ↑ (2.7)	2.34 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamba
30.5%

Draw
25.9%

JKT Tanzania
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

32.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pamba's form might have worsened.

JKT Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JKT Tanzania's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JKT Tanzania than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JKT Tanzania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pamba - JKT Tanzania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Amosi Y. (C) 3. Abraham I. 12. Antwi S. 36. Kibailo H. 15. Kunambi K. 50. Lukinda E. 54. Lutonja H. 19. Lwasa P. 23. Mwashinga J. 20. Oyugi Siwa S. 30. Zabona	28. Chalamanda R. (G) 17. Bajana S. 4. Kapalata H. 21. Karabaka S. 3. Kilemile A. 26. Makame L. 9. Mashaka V. 2. Mfaume K. 41. Mussa P. 8. Ndemla S. 51. Peter P.
Substitutes
22. Chambela K. 68. Cosmass A. 18. Kadikilo A. 16. Kamara M. (G) 8. Kasindi P. 4. Mwaipola G. . Najim 13. Riziki A. 6. Samamba M.	. Abdallah . Aron 31. Machezo A. 16. Maranya R. 7. Matiko G. . Mudy . Shomari A. 10. Songo E. . Tepsi . Zanda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)

Pamba has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

JKT Tanzania has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pamba won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Pamba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
16	Pamba	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
24.06.26	Pamba - Mbeya City	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Pamba - Mtibwa Sugar	4:0 ✺
14.06.26	Simba - Pamba	2:1 ✺
26.05.26	Pamba - Prisons	2:3 ✺
20.05.26	Kinondoni MC - Pamba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- JKT Tanzania
Tanzanian Premier League
24.06.26	Dodoma Jiji - JKT Tanzania	0:0 ✺
18.06.26	JKT Tanzania - Prisons	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	JKT Tanzania - Singida Black Stars	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Mtibwa Sugar - JKT Tanzania	2:2 ✺
21.05.26	JKT Tanzania - Singida Fountain Gate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
02.02.26	JKT Tanzania - Pamba	3:0
18.06.25	Pamba - JKT Tanzania	1:0
11.12.24	JKT Tanzania - Pamba	0:0

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