Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Pamplona		Cortes

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.99	3.23	3.71	Watch
	1.91	3.1	3.8
	1.89	3.13	3.97
	1.87	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.64)	3.18 ↓ (3.6)	3.8 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamplona
47.5%

Draw
28.6%

Cortes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.2%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

23.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamplona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pamplona's form might have worsened.

Cortes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamplona than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pamplona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cortes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pamplona - Cortes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Saralegui M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 0.

Pamplona has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cortes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Pamplona is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Pamplona will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pamplona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pamplona	5	0	4	1	2:3	-1	4
15	Cortes	5	1	1	3	2:8	-6	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pamplona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.12.25	Oberena - Pamplona	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Pamplona - Izarra	2:1 ✺
03.12.25	Bidezarra - Pamplona	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Pamplona - Txantrea	5:0 ✺
14.11.25	Aoiz - Pamplona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWWWW
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.12.25	Cortes - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Artajonés - Cortes	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Cortes - Subiza	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	San Juan - Cortes	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Cortes - Beti Onak	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
22.02.25	Cortes - Pamplona	2:0
21.01.24	Pamplona - Cortes	0:0
04.03.23	Pamplona - Cortes	1:2
05.11.22	Cortes - Pamplona	0:0
09.04.22	Cortes - Pamplona	2:0
10.04.21	Pamplona - Cortes	2:0
12.10.18	Pamplona - Cortes	2:2

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