The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panadería Pulido 62.3%
Draw 23.7%
San Bartolomé 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
23.2%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.9%
21.8%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
San Bartolomé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Bartolomé than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Panadería Pulido - San Bartolomé Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Panadería has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
San Bartolomé has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
San Bartolomé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, San Bartolomé has had a series of home games.
In this match, Panadería is the clear favorite.
We predict that Panadería will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Panadería won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Panadería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).