Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Olympic Stadium of Athens (Athens)

Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Bulgaria	Ring
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Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
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World	VIX App


	Panathinaikos		Betis

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	2.2
	3.7	3.25	2.1
	3.6	3.3	2.2
	3.59	3.36	2.19
	3.61	3.39	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	3.66	3.5	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.64)	3.32 ↑ (3.28)	2.15 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panathinaikos
26.7%

Draw
28.8%

Betis
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

29%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

30.2%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.5%	30.2%	45.3%

Panathinaikos - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Betis will win (votes: 24 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Betis: 33.4% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Betis (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.34) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Panathinaikos (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Panathinaikos (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Betis (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Lafont A. (G) 2. Calabria D. 15. Ingason S. I. (C) 3. Katris G. 9. Zaroury A. 8. Sanches R. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 28. Pellistri F. 7. Tetteh A. 20. Taborda V.	25. Lopez P. (G) 24. Ruibal A. (C) 3. Llorente D. 4. Natan 12. Rodriguez R. 6. Altimira S. 21. Roca M. 7. Antony 8. Fornals P. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 19. Cucho Hernandez
Substitutes
10. Andino S. 4. Chirivella P. 31. Djuricic F. 71. Geitonas C. (G) 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 72. Pantovic M. 6. Siopis M. 19. Swiderski K. 34. Vyntra A.	13. Adrian (G) 9. Avila C. 11. Bakambu C. 5. Bartra M. 2. Bellerin H. 18. Deossa N. 15. Fidalgo A. 23. Firpo J. 52. Garcia P. 16. Gomez V. 17. Riquelme R. 1. Valles A. (G)
Coaches
Benitez R.	Pellegrini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Natan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Natan ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
49', Zaroury A. 🟨,
59', Zaroury A. 🟨,
66', Llorente D. 🟨,
68', Ezzalzouli A. ↓, Riquelme R. ↑,
69', Rodriguez R. ↓, Firpo J. ↑,
75', Firpo J. 🟨,
78', Altimira S. ↓, Deossa N. ↑,
83', Gnezda Cerin A. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
83', Tetteh A. ↓, Swiderski K. ↑,
87', Llorente D. 🟨,
88', 1 - 0, Taborda V. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Fornals P. ↓, Bartra M. ↑,
90+2', Pellistri F. ↓, Djuricic F. ↑,
90+4', Taborda V. ↓, Andino S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Panathinaikos is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Betis's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Betis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Betis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Panathinaikos: Bakasetas A. (Yellow Cards) Bokos I. G. (Inactive) Chaves L. (Inactive) Chirivella P. (Calf Injury) Dessers C. (Thigh Injury) Hernandez J. (Red Card) Jagusic A. (Inactive) Jedvaj T. (Inactive) Kontouris S. (Inactive) Kotsiras G. (Muscle Injury) Kyriopoulos G. (Knee Injury) Palmer-Brown E. (Ankle Injury) Pantelidis P. (Inactive) Sanches R. (Inactive) Sgouros I. (Inactive) Sissoko M. (Inactive) Touba A. (Yellow Cards) Vilhena T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Betis: Amrabat S. (Ankle Injury) Isco (Ankle Injury) Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panathinaikos FC
Greek Super League
08.03.26	Levadiakos - Panathinaikos	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	Panathinaikos - OFI	4:1 ✺
01.03.26	Panathinaikos - Aris	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Panathinaikos	1:2 penalties ✺
Greek Super League
22.02.26	OFI - Panathinaikos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Getafe - Betis	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Betis - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Betis - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mallorca - Betis	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Betis	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWW

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