The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panathinaikos 39.5%
Draw 27.5%
AEK Athens 33%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.3%
28.6%
33.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.9%
28.3%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Panathinaikos - AEK Athens Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). AEK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Super League (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 1.
Panathinaikos is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
AEK has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Panathinaikos may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Panathinaikos holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Panathinaikos has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:25 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Panathinaikos against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Panathinaikos
8
7
0
1
18:4
14
21
3
AEK Athens
7
5
2
0
21:3
18
17
Outrights of Greek Super League for now
Panathinaikos: 36.82%
Last Results with these Odds
Panathinaikos - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.3%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
AEK Athens - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.13%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.