The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panathinaikos 23.4%
Draw 28.8%
AEK Athens 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
30.4%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
29.9%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panathinaikos's form might have worsened.
AEK Athens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AEK Athens's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panathinaikos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEK Athens, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
9.1%
72.7%
Panathinaikos - AEK Athens Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Panathinaikos will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). AEK will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for AEK: 46.4% – 99%.
40. Lafont A. (G) 2. Calabria D. 14. Palmer-Brown E. 15. Ingason S. I. (C) 26. Hernandez J. 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Taborda V. 18. Kontouris S. 16. Gnezda Cerin A. 10. Andino S. 7. Tetteh A.
1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 11. Koita A. 18. Marin R. 13. Pineda O. 37. Pereyra R. 90. Zini 25. Varga B.
Substitutes
11. Bakasetas A. 12. Chaves L. (G) 4. Chirivella P. 88. Jagusic A. 70. Kotsaris K. (G) 23. Pantelidis P. 72. Pantovic M. 28. Pellistri F. 19. Swiderski K. 5. Touba A. 9. Zaroury A.
91. Brignoli A. (G) 19. Eliasson N. 8. Gacinovic M. 15. Georgiev M. 4. Grujic M. 10. Joao Mario 9. Jovic L. 7. Kutesa D. 23. Ljubicic R. 20. Mantalos P. 29. Penrice J. 21. Vida D.
Coaches
Benitez R.
Nikolic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Hernandez J. 🟥,
25', Moukoudi H. 🟨,
29', Georgiev M. 🟨,
39', Ingason S. I. 🟨,
42', Pilios S. 🟨,
45', Relvas F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pilios S. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
58', Zini ↓, Jovic L. ↑,
58', Pereyra R. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
69', Kontouris S. ↓, Bakasetas A. ↑,
69', Taborda V. ↓, Pellistri F. ↑,
69', Vida D. 🟨,
73', Pineda O. ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
77', Andino S. ↓, Zaroury A. ↑,
88', Tetteh A. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 3.
In recent matches, Panathinaikos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
AEK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
AEK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Panathinaikos: Dessers C.
(Thigh Injury)
Djuricic F.
(Inactive)
Katris G.
(Muscle Injury)
Palmer-Brown E.
(Ankle Injury)
Sissoko M.
(Muscle Injury)
Zaroury A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in AEK: Callens A.
(Heart Problems)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Panathinaikos won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Panathinaikos won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
Albania
Australia
Belarus
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Croatia
Cyprus
Greece
North-macedonia
Russia
Serbia
Slovenia
Usa
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Lafont A. (G) 
Calabria D. 
Palmer-Brown E. 
Ingason S. I. (C) 
Hernandez J. 
Kyriakopoulos G. 
Taborda V. 
Gnezda Cerin A. 
Strakosha T. (G) 
Moukoudi H. (C) 
Relvas F. 
Koita A. 
Marin R. 
Pineda O. 
Zini 
Varga B. 
Jagusic A. 
Pantovic M. 
Pellistri F. 
Swiderski K. 
Touba A. 
Zaroury A. 
Eliasson N. 
Georgiev M. 
Kutesa D. 
Penrice J. 
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