Match Info

Cyprus League - Championship Group

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stelios Kyriakides Stadium (Pafos)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1


	Paphos		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.75
	1.85	3.4	3.85
	1.92	3.55	4.04
	1.87	3.56	4.03	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.86	3.41	4.21	Watch
	1.8	3.45	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	3.95 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
49.7%

Draw
27%

Apollon Limassol
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

26.9%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Apollon Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paphos - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paphos (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Paphos will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gorter J. (G) 33. Anderson Silva 7. Bruno 77. Correia J. 4. David Luiz 14. Ioannou N. 23. Luckassen D. 17. Orsic M. 88. Pepe (C) 8. Quina D. 26. Sunjic I.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 4. Adoni Z. 5. Brown M. 76. Gaspar B. 44. Kvida J. 77. Ljubic I. 43. Marques P. 10. Rodrigues G. 23. Thomas B. 27. Weissbeck G. 8. Zmrhal J.
Substitutes
9. Bassouamina M. 50. Brito A. 80. Dani Silva 30. Dragomir V. 19. Guessand A. 11. Jaja 42. Michael G. 21. Mimovic O. 20. Odefalk W. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 2. Pileas K. 12. Sema K.	12. Assuncao G. 30. Escriche D. 41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 14. Malekkidis G. 50. Markovic L. 91. Polyviou I. 89. Rotis R. 26. Shikkis A. 20. Spoljaric D. 31. Stylianou K. (G) 45. Vrikkis A.
Coaches
Celades A.	Losada H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Quina D. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Ljubic I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zmrhal J. ↓, Malekkidis G. ↑,
58', Orsic M. ↓, Dragomir V. ↑,
65', Thomas B. 🟨,
69', Thomas B. ↓, Escriche D. ↑,
77', Quina D. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
79', Gaspar B. ↓, Shikkis A. ↑,
83', Ioannou N. 🟨,
90', Anderson Silva ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
90+1', Correia J. ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
90+2', Marques P. ↓, Vrikkis A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Paphos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paphos is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Paphos: Goldar D. (Inactive)

There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Duodu C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Apollon Limassol: Lam T. (Injury) Vouros P. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paphos won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:16. (average 1.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Paphos won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Pafos	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
5	Apollon	4	1	3	0	7:5	2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
14.03.26	Akritas Chlorakas - Paphos	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Paphos - Krasava Ypsonas	7:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Paphos - Anorthosis	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	AEL Limassol - Paphos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTW
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
15.03.26	Anorthosis - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Omonia - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Apollon Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	AEK Larnaca - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
04.01.26	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	2:1
13.09.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	0:1
Cypriot Cup
07.05.25	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	0:2
30.04.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	4:2
Cypriot First Division
22.04.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	2:0
16.03.25	Apollon Limassol - Paphos	1:2
16.02.25	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	1:0

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