Match Info

SWITZERLAND: PROMOTION LEAGUE

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Paradiso		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.85
	4.04	3.2	1.95
	4.03	3.22	1.95
	3.7	3.58	1.81
	3.6	3.45	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.16)	3.37 ↓ (3.39)	1.89 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paradiso
24.3%

Draw
27.2%

Étoile Carouge
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

26.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

26.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paradiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradiso than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Paradiso - Étoile Carouge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Mitrovic M. (G) 30. Foglia M. 23. Loiero L. (C) 21. Milosavljevic N. 4. Delli Carri S. 6. Picozzi E. 5. Alshikh M. 13. Strechie R. 10. Perrault T. 8. Disabato D. 22. Musumeci S.	1. Antonio S. (G) 13. Zoukit N. 14. Hysenaj F. 80. Oberli B. 10. Caslei B. 8. Chappuis A. (C) 22. Rufli V. 9. Eleouet A. 6. El Jaouhari M. 4. Magnin M. 25. Felder V.
Substitutes
3. Belometti S. 2. Campello A. 33. Da Silva F. F. 14. Giger M. 7. Kame N. 1. Pala Y. (G) 20. Sbai Y.	7. Correia O. 5. Mulliqi B. 27. Munishi H. 20. Nvendo Ferrier V. 18. Perez M. (G) 17. Vieira M.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League).

Paradiso is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Étoile is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Étoile will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paradiso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Paradiso
Swiss Promotion League
18.11.23	Paradiso - Cham	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Bavois - Paradiso	1:2 ✺
04.11.23	Paradiso - Bulle	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Kriens - Paradiso	3:1 ✺
21.10.23	St. Gallen II - Paradiso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Promotion League
19.11.23	St. Gallen II - Étoile Carouge	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Young Boys II - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Étoile Carouge - Zurich II	3:2 ✺
21.10.23	Luzern II - Étoile Carouge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
05.08.23	Étoile Carouge - Paradiso	0:1

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