Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 15

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Paraguarí		Independiente Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.00	2.50
	2.62	3.00	2.48
	2.72	2.97	2.53
	2.44	3.27	2.83	Watch
	2.65	2.80	2.50
	2.62	3.04	2.49
	2.60	3.00	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.58)	3.01 ↓ (3.31)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraguarí
34.7%

Draw
29.9%

Independiente Asuncion
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.5%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraguarí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Independiente Asuncion aligns with the current prediction.

Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Dietze S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, Rivarola V. ⚽,
69', 1 - 2, Duarte B. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Escobar R. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Paraguarí is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Independiente FBC has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Independiente FBC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Independiente FBC	27	10	10	7	40:35	5	40
8	Paraguari AC	27	11	5	11	36:35	1	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
10.07.26	Fernando de la Mora - Paraguarí	2:2 ✺
03.07.26	Paraguarí - Tacuary	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	3 de Noviembre - Paraguarí	1:1 ✺
04.06.26	Paraguarí - Atlético Tembetary	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	General Caballero JLM - Paraguarí	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTL
- Independiente Asuncion
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.07.26	Independiente Asuncion - Tacuary	2:2 ✺
07.07.26	Atlético Tembetary - Independiente Asuncion	2:2 ✺
30.06.26	Independiente Asuncion - Benjamín Aceval	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	0:2 ✺
29.05.26	Independiente Asuncion - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLWL

Paraguarí - Independiente Asuncion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide