Match Info

Date: 19 July 2021, Monday


	Paraná Clube Curitiba		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.75	3	2.4
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	3.15	2.85	2.27
	3.39	3.01	2.4
	3.1	2.87	2.25
	3.18	2.89	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.89)	2.92 ↓ (3.08)	2.37 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraná Clube Curitiba
29.9%

Draw
31.4%

Grêmio Novorizontino
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.3%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

20.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paraná Clube Curitiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paraná Clube Curitiba - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Paraná have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Serie C
10.07.21	Mirassol - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:3 ✺
04.07.21	Criciúma - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
26.06.21	Paraná Clube Curitiba - EC São José Porto Alegre	3:1 ✺
19.06.21	Ituano - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.06.21	Athletico Paranaense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLWLT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie C
09.07.21	Ypiranga - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:2 ✺
03.07.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Criciúma - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
19.06.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
12.06.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Osasco Sporting	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWT

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