Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carioca B2 🌤️ ...


	Paraty		Rio de Janeiro

	1	X	2
	3	3.35	2.02
	3.16	3.78	1.95	Watch
	2.99	3.38	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	3.5 ↓ (3.71)	2.02 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraty
29.6%

Draw
25.8%

Rio de Janeiro
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

24.7%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

22.7%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Rio de Janeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraty than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Paraty - Rio de Janeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th in the Relegation - Carioca C and 8th).

Paraty is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Rio de Janeiro is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Rio de Janeiro is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FC Rio de Janeiro	9	3	1	5	11:13	-2	10
12	Paraty	9	0	0	9	5:28	-23	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Paraty
Brazilian Carioca B2
01.10.26	Búzios - Paraty	3:2 ✺
27.09.26	Paraty - Paduano	0:3 ✺
21.09.26	7 de Abril - Paraty	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Paraty - Friburguense	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Campos - Paraty	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Carioca B2
01.10.26	Rio de Janeiro - Barra Mansa	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Serra Macaense - Rio de Janeiro	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Rio de Janeiro - Santa Cruz RJ	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Cardoso Moreira - Rio de Janeiro	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Belford Roxo - Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WLLLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Carioca B2
26.10.26	Rio de Janeiro - 7 de Abril	✺

Paraty - Rio de Janeiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide