Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 6

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Carioca B2 🌤️ ...


	Rio de Janeiro		Barra Mansa

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.15	2.02
	3.22	3.32	2.08	Watch
	3.29	3.65	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	2.08 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio de Janeiro
28.4%

Draw
27.3%

Barra Mansa
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.1%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

26.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Rio de Janeiro have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Barra Mansa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barra Mansa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Rio de Janeiro - Barra Mansa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 10th and 8th).

Rio de Janeiro is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Barra Mansa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Barra Mansa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Barra Mansa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Rio de Janeiro has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	FC Rio de Janeiro	9	3	1	5	11:13	-2	10
10	Barra Mansa	9	1	4	4	6:12	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Carioca B2
27.09.26	Serra Macaense - Rio de Janeiro	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Rio de Janeiro - Santa Cruz RJ	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Cardoso Moreira - Rio de Janeiro	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Belford Roxo - Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Rio de Janeiro - Búzios	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLTW
- Barra Mansa FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
28.09.26	Barra Mansa - Búzios	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Paduano - Barra Mansa	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Barra Mansa - 7 de Abril	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Friburguense - Barra Mansa	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Barra Mansa - Campos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
07.11.24	Barra Mansa - Rio de Janeiro	4:1

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