Match Info

Carioca C - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday


	Paraty		União Central

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.9	3.91
	1.70	3.45	4.78	Watch
	1.72	3.8	3.92
	1.76	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.77)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)	4.09 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paraty
53.2%

Draw
24.5%

União Central
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.1%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.5%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

União Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraty than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Central than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Paraty - União Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Paraty is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paraty won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SE Paraty
Brazilian Carioca C
24.08.25	União Central - Paraty	2:2 ✺
04.08.25	Duque Caxiense - Paraty	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Paraty - EC Resende	4:1 ✺
23.07.25	União Central - Paraty	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	Paraty - Juventus RJ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWL
- União Central FC
Brazilian Carioca C
24.08.25	União Central - Paraty	2:2 ✺
28.07.25	Búzios - União Central	1:7 ✺
23.07.25	União Central - Paraty	0:4 ✺
14.07.25	Duque Caxiense - União Central	0:3 ✺
06.07.25	União Central - EC Resende	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca C
24.08.25	União Central - Paraty	2:2
23.07.25	União Central - Paraty	0:4
01.07.24	União Central - Paraty	2:1

Paraty - União Central: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide