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Current Win Probability
Paraty 80.5%
Draw 12.2%
EC Resende 7.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
75.7%
15%
9.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paraty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
EC Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca C (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
Paraty is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Resende has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Resende may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Paraty is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paraty won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Including home match between the teams, Paraty won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.