Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Varzim SC (Póvoa de Varzim)


	Varzim		Canelas

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.61	3.95	5.67
	1.57	3.72	5.55
	1.58	3.8	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)	3.81 ↑ (3.4)	5.41 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varzim
58.7%

Draw
24.3%

Canelas
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

26.8%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Canelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canelas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ricardo (G) 22. Guga 4. Xandao 43. Dias J. 5. Milhazes A. 29. Vasco Rocha 8. Braga V. 30. Moreira P. 19. Santos Teixeira L. 9. Sangare M. 11. Silas O.	80. Miguel B. (G) 13. dos Santos Simao L. P. 3. Bastos V. 4. Carvalho A. 23. Emanuel 30. Santos D. M. 8. Samu (C) 10. Sousa C. 14. Doukoure H. 28. Tank A. 90. Gabriel Tigrao
Substitutes
49. Areias R. 3. Bonilla J. 14. Joaozinho 7. Joca 15. Martins D. 1. Pereira T. (G) 2. Pimenta G. 23. Sinisterra J. 17. Vieira J.	77. Duarte M. 88. Leite R. 2. Lixa G. 6. Luan 1. Matos J. (G) 20. Ribeiro F. . Soares J. 19. Sousa A. 18. Vinicius

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Varzim is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Canelas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Canelas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Varzim have a series of guest games.

In this match Varzim is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Varzim won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varzim SC
Taça de Portugal
08.09.23	Limianos - Varzim	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.09.23	Trofense - Varzim	0:0 ✺
25.08.23	Varzim - Lusitânia	3:0 ✺
20.08.23	Fafe - Varzim	0:0 ✺
13.08.23	Vianense - Varzim	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTWTW
- CF Canelas 2010
Portuguese Liga 3
03.09.23	Canelas - Vianense	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Braga B - Canelas	1:0 ✺
20.08.23	Canelas - Felgueiras	0:8 ✺
12.08.23	Sanjoanense - Canelas	0:2 ✺
08.08.23	Canelas - Anadia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.03.23	Varzim - Canelas	1:1
26.11.22	Canelas - Varzim	3:2

Varzim - Canelas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide