Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 13

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal das Laranjeiras (Paredes)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Paredes		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.18	3	3.1
	2.25	3.23	3.35
	2.23	3.18	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.22	2.99	3.17
	2.1	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.92)	3.08 ↓ (3.31)	3.21 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paredes
41.8%

Draw
29.7%

Varzim
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paredes's form might have worsened.

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paredes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Paredes - Varzim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Matos F. (G) 2. Araujo P. 3. Duarte D. P. 14. Erik 44. Ferreira P. 9. Fonseca R. 23. Macedo Z. 4. Pereira Pacheco R. F. 29. Vasco Rocha 84. Yuk J. 11. Zacarias V.	51. Momo Mbaye (G) 27. Boloto 77. Franca F. 3. Nuno P. 8. Oliveira R. 2. Pimenta G. 17. Sequeira D. 31. Talocha 7. Teixeira G. 44. Vila Cova M. 70. Ze Manuel
Substitutes
99. Balelo 24. Buby 16. Goncalves T. (G) 20. Lemos I. M. 6. Matheus Brito 7. Miguel 26. Santos Outeiro D. 10. Soares A. 21. Veiga D.	84. Ayiah E. 11. Benchi D. 49. Costa P. (G) 71. Filipe L. 14. Graca H. 99. Pedro Clemente 45. Rebelo M. 32. Rego R. 6. Santos A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Fonseca R. ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
57', Zacarias V. ↓, Miguel ↑,
73', Franca F. ↓, Rebelo M. ↑,
73', Ze Manuel ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
73', Vasco Rocha ↓, Santos Outeiro D. ↑,
73', Macedo Z. ↓, Balelo ↑,
81', Oliveira R. 🟨,
85', Yuk J. ↓, Buby ↑,
87', Sequeira D. ↓, Santos A. ↑,
87', Boloto ↓, Benchi D. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Paredes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Varzim is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Paredes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Paredes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Trofense - Paredes	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Fafe - Paredes	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Paredes - Braga B	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paredes - São João de Ver	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Amarante - Paredes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWTL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
07.12.25	Varzim - Braga B	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	São João de Ver - Varzim	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Varzim - Amarante	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Varzim - Marco 09	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sanjoanense - Varzim	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.25	Varzim - Paredes	2:2
12.03.23	Paredes - Varzim	1:0
02.12.22	Varzim - Paredes	1:0

Paredes - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide