Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Pele (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Paris 13 Atletico		Bourg-Péronnas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.30
	2.02	3.15	3.5
	2.06	3.3	4.3
	1.96	3.27	3.6
	2.02	2.95	4.25
	2.01	3.3	3.71
	2.02	3.15	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.06)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)	3.73 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris 13 Atletico
45.9%

Draw
29.2%

Bourg-Péronnas
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.8%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris 13 Atletico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paris 13 Atletico that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bourg-Péronnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg Péronnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paris 13 Atletico will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Temperton A. (G) 20. Ayessa J. 19. Kone I. (C) 18. Dode E. 5. Poha J. 6. Camara I. 29. Donat N. 8. Bezzekhami O. 22. Michut E. 27. Camara F. 11. Sidibe A.	1. Montfort L. (G) 5. Lacour Q. 21. Alberto E. 12. Coelho G. (C) 27. Muro R. 29. Dede-Lhomme N. 23. El Hajjami M. 22. Gomes T. 15. Ehling T. 14. Krizoua A. 8. Frayssinous T.
Substitutes
16. Bernard S. (G) 4. Diedhiou C. 21. Guendez M. 23. Kone I. 13. Marthe L. 26. Misiatu S. 28. Salhi Q.	11. Abraou Y. 4. Dihad A. 26. Groune A. 18. Kanoute Y. 13. Keita E. 17. Lebas da Silva V. 40. Popp P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Ayessa J. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Ehling T. (Penalty Awarded),
39', El Hajjami M. ↓, Abraou Y. ↑,
45', Lacour Q. 🟨,
45+2', Sidibe A. 🟨,
45+2', Coelho G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Poha J. 🟨,
63', Michut E. ↓, Guendez M. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Ayessa J. ⚽,
73', Camara F. ↓, Kone I. ↑,
75', Frayssinous T. ↓, Lebas da Silva V. ↑,
75', Alberto E. ↓, Kanoute Y. ↑,
85', Camara I. ↓, Misiatu S. ↑,
87', Coelho G. ↓, Dihad A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paris 13 Atletico won 3.

In recent outings, Paris 13 Atletico has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bourg-Péronnas has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Paris 13 Atletico is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Paris 13 Atletico has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 1.3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Paris 13 Atletico against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Bourg en Bresse	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Last Results with these Odds

Bourg-Péronnas - the odds 3.56 are the expected chance of winning is 25.82%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
12.09.26	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Villefranche - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTTWL
- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
12.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Bastia	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Aubagne - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Thionville Lusitanos	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Valenciennes - Bourg-Péronnas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
03.04.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Paris 13 Atletico	1:0
31.10.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1
28.02.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	0:1
27.09.24	Bourg-Péronnas - Paris 13 Atletico	0:3
24.03.23	Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas	1:0
21.10.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Paris 13 Atletico	0:2

Paris 13 Atletico - Bourg-Péronnas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide