Match Info

Ligue 3 - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Italy	Ligue 1+
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+


	Caen		Paris 13 Atletico

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.60	4.75
	1.6	3.65	4.9
	1.65	3.93	5.3
	1.63	3.64	4.88	Watch
	1.6	3.85	5.15
	1.6	3.68	4.93
	1.6	3.7	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 (1.61)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	4.97 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
57%

Draw
24.6%

Paris 13 Atletico
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.7%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Paris 13 Atletico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris 13 Atletico than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Caen - Paris 13 Atletico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Clementia Y. (G) 24. Milliner L. 12. Appiah D. 23. Carole L. 3. Bolumbu D. 25. Bagbema Z. 18. Bomo F. 22. Hafid M. 20. Portut K. 10. Botella I. 9. El Khoumisti F.	30. Temperton A. (G) 24. Bernardino N. 20. Ayessa J. 19. Kone I. 5. Poha J. 26. Misiatu S. 29. Donat N. 22. Michut E. 8. Bezzekhami O. 17. Kebe M. 11. Sidibe A.
Substitutes
29. Diakite S. 11. Gnanduillet A. 6. Kimboma J. 19. Lamouliatte H. 4. Mbaka S. 8. Noireau-Dauriat S. 40. Tutu R. (G)	10. Amara A. 16. Bernard S. (G) 27. Camara F. 6. Camara I. 4. Diedhiou C. 21. Guendez M. 9. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, El Khoumisti F. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Hafid M. ↓, Diakite S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Misiatu S. 🟨,
57', Bagbema Z. 🟨,
66', Bezzekhami O. ↓, Guendez M. ↑,
66', Kebe M. ↓, Amara A. ↑,
72', Misiatu S. ↓, Camara F. ↑,
74', Bagbema Z. ↓, Lamouliatte H. ↑,
74', El Khoumisti F. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
78', Donat N. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
79', Sidibe A. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
87', Appiah D. ↓, Mbaka S. ↑,
87', Botella I. ↓, Kimboma J. ↑,
90+1', Portut K. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Kimboma J. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paris 13 Atletico may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Caen is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
05.09.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Caen - Bastia	0:1 ✺
20.08.26	Caen - Aubagne	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Caen	4:3 ✺
07.08.26	Caen - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW
- Paris 13 Atletico
French Ligue 3
05.09.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Aubagne	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Thionville Lusitanos - Paris 13 Atletico	1:1 ✺
20.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Villefranche - Paris 13 Atletico	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Quevilly	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.07.26	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	3:4
French Ligue 3
10.04.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Caen	0:3
07.11.25	Caen - Paris 13 Atletico	0:0

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