Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Parla		México

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.05	3.05
	2.17	3.09	3.32
	8.12	6.13	1.26	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.3
	2.16	3.04	3.23
	2.14	3	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.2)	3.54 ↑ (3.07)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parla
33.6%

Draw
30%

México
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Parla's form might have worsened.

México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting México's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parla than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for México, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Parla - México Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Heranz J. ⚽,
6', 0 - 2, So Lora A. A. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Martin Bartolome D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 3, Sevillano D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Parla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Parla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Parla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Parla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Parla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Parla - Carabanchel	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Móstoles URJC - Parla	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Parla - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Racing Madrid - Parla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLWT
- México FC Spain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
06.12.25	México - Alcorcón B	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	México - Galapagar	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tres Cantos - México	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	México - Carabanchel	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Móstoles URJC - México	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.03.25	México - Parla	0:2
03.11.24	Parla - México	1:2

Parla - México: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide