Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Galapagar		Tres Cantos

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.05
	1.83	3.1	4.62
	2.68	3.71	2.28	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.81	3.1	4.43
	1.91	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.91)	3.25 ↑ (3.15)	3.76 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galapagar
47%

Draw
28.4%

Tres Cantos
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Galapagar - Tres Cantos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Borrella J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 1.

Galapagar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tres Cantos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Galapagar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Galapagar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Galapagar	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.03.26	Siello - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Galapagar - Carabanchel	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Galapagar - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Leganés B - Galapagar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TWTTW
- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
15.03.26	Tres Cantos - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tres Cantos - San Sebastian Reyes B	0:6 ✺
22.02.26	Racing Madrid - Tres Cantos	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tres Cantos - Las Rozas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
09.11.25	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	0:0
02.02.25	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	1:1
14.04.24	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	1:0
26.11.23	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	3:2
09.01.22	Tres Cantos - Galapagar	1:0
05.09.21	Galapagar - Tres Cantos	2:1

Galapagar - Tres Cantos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide