Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 12

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Referee: Gemelli E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia, RaiPlay, RAI Sport
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fox


	Milan		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.9	4.85	Watch
	1.53	4.34	5.32
	1.59	4.28	4.86	Watch
	1.5	3.8	4.8
	1.61	3.77	5.5	Watch
	1.52	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.38)	4.02 ↓ (4.91)	5.14 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
59.3%

Draw
22.8%

Genoa
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

18.9%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17.9%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milan's form might have worsened.

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Milan - Genoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 20. Soffia A. 21. Keijzer M. 8. Arrigoni G. 12. Mascarello M. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 14. Park Soo-Jeong 10. van Dooren K. 7. Kyvag T.	21. Forcinella C. (G) 20. Giles H. 23. Vigilucci V. 19. Hilaj A. 16. Curraj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 10. Cinotti N. 18. Lie N. 13. Bahr E. 29. Georgsdottir B. 17. Acuti A. (C)
Substitutes
29. Appiah K. 99. Dompig C. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 18. Renzotti M. 36. Strauss L. 24. Tornaghi L. (G)	5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 4. Bettalli G. 15. Di Criscio F. 14. Ferrara A. 30. Giacobbo G. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 2. Lipman E. 45. Massa A. 44. Mele C. 27. Monterubbiano V. 9. Sondengaard A.
Coaches
Bakker S.	De La Fuente S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, van Dooren K. ⚽, Park Soo-Jeong (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Soffia A. 🟨,
60', Cinotti N. (Penalty Awarded),
60', 1 - 1, Cinotti N. ⚽,
64', Cinotti N. 🟨,
66', Kyvag T. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
77', Giles H. ↓, Massa A. ↑,
77', Georgsdottir B. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
79', Sondengaard A. 🟨,
81', Koivisto E. 🟨,
86', Cinotti N. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
88', Arrigoni G. ↓, Dompig C. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, van Dooren K. ⚽, Dompig C. (A),
90+2', Curraj A. ↓, Giacobbo G. ↑,
90+3', Cuschieri R. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).

In recent matches, Milan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Genoa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Milan is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AC Milan W: 3.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Coppa Italia Women
29.01.26	Fiorentina - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Milan - Ternana	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
20.01.26	Milan - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Parma - Milan	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Genoa - Milan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTTW
- Genoa Women
Italian Serie A Women
25.01.26	Genoa - Roma	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Fiorentina - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Genoa - Milan	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
14.12.25	Genoa - Sassuolo	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Inter Milan - Genoa	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Women
21.12.25	Genoa - Milan	2:3

Milan - Genoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide