The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Genoa 20.8%
Draw 25.9%
Lazio 53.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.4%
26.1%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
25.6%
52.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Genoa aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Genoa - Lazio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Forcinella C. (G) 20. Giles H. 23. Vigilucci V. 19. Hilaj A. 16. Curraj A. 8. Cuschieri R. 10. Cinotti N. 18. Lie N. 13. Bahr E. 29. Georgsdottir B. 17. Acuti A. (C)
28. Durante F. (G) 2. Baltrip-Reyes C. 7. Connolly M. 27. D'Auria F. 13. Oliviero E. 25. Goldoni E. 10. Benoit A. 8. Martin E. 99. Visentin N. (C) 18. Piemonte M. 11. Le Bihan C.
Substitutes
5. Abate G. 22. Bargi C. 4. Bettalli G. 15. Di Criscio F. 14. Ferrara A. 30. Giacobbo G. 33. Korenciova M. (G) 2. Lipman E. 45. Massa A. 44. Mele C. 27. Monterubbiano V. 9. Sondengaard A.
42. Bacic D. (G) 77. Cafferata F. 5. Cesarini E. 9. Karczewska N. 1. Karresmaa K. (G) 4. Mancuso G. 6. Mesjasz M. 17. Monnecchi M. 20. Simonetti F.
Coaches
De La Fuente S.
Grassadonia G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 3)
9', 1 - 0, Acuti A. ⚽, Bahr E. (A),
13', Acuti A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Martin E. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Le Bihan C. ⚽, Visentin N. (A),
30', Cuschieri R. ↓, Ferrara A. ↑,
40', 1 - 3, Piemonte M. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 3, Ferrara A. ⚽, Acuti A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Curraj A. ↓, Di Criscio F. ↑,
46', Cinotti N. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
46', Giles H. ↓, Mele C. ↑,
53', 2 - 4, Goldoni E. ⚽,
60', Visentin N. ↓, Monnecchi M. ↑,
66', Martin E. ↓, Simonetti F. ↑,
70', 2 - 5, Piemonte M. ⚽, Oliviero E. (A),
75', Georgsdottir B. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
75', Baltrip-Reyes C. ↓, Mesjasz M. ↑,
75', Oliviero E. ↓, Cafferata F. ↑,
76', Piemonte M. ↓, Karczewska N. ↑,
90+5', Simonetti F. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 6).
Genoa has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Lazio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lazio is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 1:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).