Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Partizana (Belgrade)

Referee: Barbu M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, MaxTV GO
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Ukraine	2plus2


	Partizan		Dynamo Kyiv

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.33	1.7	Watch
	3.75	4.75	1.7
	4.3	4.42	1.69
	4.4	4.57	1.62	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.73
	4.37	4.38	1.74
	4.05	4.45	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.35)	4.4 ↑ (3.85)	1.7 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizan
23%

Draw
21.4%

Dynamo Kyiv
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

23.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

23.4%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Dynamo Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Kyiv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Kyiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	24%	60%

Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Partizan will win (votes: 4 - 16%). Dynamo will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovanovic A. (G) 26. Filipovic A. 18. Mujakic N. 6. Markovic S. (C) 4. Jurcevic M. 29. Zahid G. 16. Owusu L. 50. Lazarevic M. 15. Kalulu A. 77. Goh Young-Jun 11. Saldanha	1. Bushchan G. (G) 20. Karavaev O. 4. Popov D. 3. Dyachuk M. 44. Dubinchak V. 76. Pikhalyonok O. 29. Buyalskyy V. (C) 10. Shaparenko M. 7. Yarmolenko A. 11. Vanat V. 9. Voloshyn N.
Substitutes
5. Antic N. 25. De Medina N. 39. Ibrahim Z. 9. Jovanovic D. 36. Kovacevic B. 10. Natcho B. 23. Nikolic N. 19. Scekic A. 7. Severina X. 85. Stevanovic N. (G) 45. Stjepanovic M. 43. Trifunovic N.	18. Andriyevski O. 40. Bilovar K. 6. Brazhko V. 30. Diallo S. 22. Kabaev V. 17. Lonwijk J. 23. Malysh N. 51. Morgun V. (G) 32. Mykhavko T. 35. Neshcheret R. (G) 21. Supryaga V. 2. Vivcharenko K.
Coaches
Stanojevic A.	Shovkovsky O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Yarmolenko A. ⚽, Vanat V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Dyachuk M. ↓, Bilovar K. ↑,
58', Filipovic A. 🟨,
65', Kalulu A. ↓, Severina X. ↑,
65', Zahid G. ↓, Natcho B. ↑,
65', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Trifunovic N. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Vanat V. (Pen),
70', Yarmolenko A. ↓, Kabaev V. ↑,
70', Shaparenko M. ↓, Lonwijk J. ↑,
70', Buyalskyy V. ↓, Andriyevski O. ↑,
78', Vanat V. ↓, Supryaga V. ↑,
79', Jurcevic M. ↓, Antic N. ↑,
83', Filipovic A. ↓, De Medina N. ↑,
90', Markovic S. 🟨,
90+3', 0 - 3, Karavaev O. ⚽, Dubinchak V. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-6.

Recent matches Partizan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Partizan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Partizan have a series of guest games.

In this match Dynamo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Partizan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Partizan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Partizan
Serbian Superliga
27.07.24	Jedinstvo Ub - Partizan	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Partizan	6:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
19.07.24	Napredak Kruševac - Partizan	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Partizan	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	CSKA Moscow - Partizan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWTL
- FC Dynamo Kyiv
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Partizan	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Union Berlin - Dynamo Kyiv	3:2 ✺
17.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Brøndby - Dynamo Kyiv	0:4 ✺
13.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Partizan	6:2
UEFA Europa League
07.12.17	Dynamo Kyiv - Partizan	4:1
28.09.17	Partizan - Dynamo Kyiv	2:3

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