Match Info

Primera Divisió - Round 25

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF (Andorra la Vella)


	Pas de la Casa		Penya Encarnada

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.5
	1.87	3.33	3.66
	1.85	3.7	3.61	Watch
	1.88	4.16	3.38	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.81)	3.72 ↓ (4)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pas de la Casa
49.3%

Draw
24.7%

Penya Encarnada
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

22.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

22.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pas de la Casa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Penya Encarnada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pas de la Casa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pas de la Casa - Penya Encarnada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Deville N. (G) 29. Awwad M. 24. Bautista Gallardo A. 18. de Pablos E. 6. Guzman I. 30. Palfi G. M. 8. Puerto Bellart X. 5. Rebes M. 9. Salguero L. 28. Selva A. 17. Serra F.	1. Olmo M. (G) 9. de Jesus F. 5. Figueiras D. 8. Garcia J. 6. Henrique A. 10. Ismael R. 25. Martinez M. P. 14. Nava J. 21. Pinilla I. 22. Rodriguez C. 2. Victor de Paula
Substitutes
2. Alfaiate A. 26. Atto N. 7. Bobi A. 1. Leal F. (G) 21. Sarakh R. 3. Vargas E. 34. Yaguoubi N.	20. Buenrostro S. 18. Cordova B. 3. Laffont Q. 11. Martin C. 19. Quirarte F. 4. Sanchez E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Selva A. ↓, Alfaiate A. ↑,
64', de Pablos E. ↓, Bobi A. ↑,
64', Martinez M. P. ↓, Quirarte F. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Quirarte F. ⚽,
70', Palfi G. M. ↓, Sarakh R. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, de Jesus F. (Pen),
74', Victor de Paula 🟨,
76', de Jesus F. ↓, Cordova B. ↑,
76', Victor de Paula ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,

Preview

Pas de la Casa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Penya's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pas de la Casa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pas de la Casa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Pas de la Casa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Pas de la Casa
Andorra Primera Divisio
27.04.25	Inter Escaldes - Pas de la Casa	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	Pas de la Casa - Ordino	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Pas de la Casa - Ràngers	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Esperança - Pas de la Casa	0:1 ✺
Andorra Cup
12.03.25	Pas de la Casa - Inter Escaldes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL
- Penya Encarnada
Andorra Primera Divisio
27.04.25	Penya Encarnada - Esperança	4:1 ✺
13.04.25	FC Santa Coloma - Penya Encarnada	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Penya Encarnada - UE Santa Coloma	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Atlètic Escaldes - Penya Encarnada	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Penya Encarnada - La Massana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Andorra Primera Divisio
23.02.25	Penya Encarnada - Pas de la Casa	1:0
23.11.24	Penya Encarnada - Pas de la Casa	1:0
10.03.24	Pas de la Casa - Penya Encarnada	2:2
25.02.24	Pas de la Casa - Penya Encarnada	0:1
01.10.23	Penya Encarnada - Pas de la Casa	2:0

Pas de la Casa - Penya Encarnada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide