The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pasaia 41.7%
Draw 31.5%
Deusto 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.2%
30.8%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
30.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pasaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pasaia's form might have worsened.
Deusto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deusto's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pasaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deusto than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deusto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pasaia - Deusto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2.
Pasaia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Deusto is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Deusto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pasaia is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pasaia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Pasaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).