Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Portugalete		Pasaia

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.35	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 (2.03)	3.35 (3.35)	3.15 (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
44.4%

Draw
26.9%

Pasaia
28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

26%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Portugalete have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Pasaia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pasaia than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Portugalete could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	Lagun Onak - Portugalete	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Portugalete - Deusto	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	San Ignacio - Portugalete	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Portugalete - Derio	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	Touring KE - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTWW
- Pasaia KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
11.10.25	Pasaia - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Derio - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Pasaia - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Alavés C - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Pasaia - Aurrerá de Vitoria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.02.25	Portugalete - Pasaia	0:1
05.04.24	Pasaia - Portugalete	0:1
19.11.23	Portugalete - Pasaia	2:0
16.04.23	Portugalete - Pasaia	0:1
17.12.22	Pasaia - Portugalete	0:1
12.02.22	Portugalete - Pasaia	3:1
09.10.21	Pasaia - Portugalete	0:1

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