Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 11

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday


	Passo Fundo		Gaúcho

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.6	6
	1.99	2.71	4.3
				Watch
	1.85	2.86	4.81
	1.55	3.6	5.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)	5.23 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Passo Fundo
53.5%

Draw
28.8%

Gaúcho
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

25.4%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Passo Fundo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Passo Fundo's form might have worsened.

Gaúcho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Passo Fundo than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Passo Fundo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gaúcho than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Passo Fundo - Gaúcho Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Passo Fundo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Passo Fundo won 2.

Passo Fundo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gaúcho is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gaúcho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Passo Fundo is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Passo Fundo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Passo Fundo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Passo Fundo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.07.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Passo Fundo	2:2 ✺
30.06.25	Passo Fundo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Passo Fundo - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	Novo Hamburgo - Passo Fundo	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLW
- SC Gaúcho
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
09.07.25	Lajeadense - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Gaúcho - Veranopolis	2:3 ✺
29.06.25	Inter Santa Maria - Gaúcho	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Aimoré - Gaúcho	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Gaúcho - GE Bagé	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa FGF
03.11.24	Gaúcho - Passo Fundo	1:0
26.10.24	Passo Fundo - Gaúcho	0:1
12.10.24	Passo Fundo - Gaúcho	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
30.06.24	Passo Fundo - Gaúcho	1:0
28.04.24	Gaúcho - Passo Fundo	1:2
04.06.23	Gaúcho - Passo Fundo	0:1
28.05.23	Passo Fundo - Gaúcho	0:1

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