Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Brasil de Farroupilha		Passo Fundo

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.55	2.50
	3.00	2.70	2.23
	2.98	2.69	2.6
	3.10	2.55	2.55
	3.02	2.91	2.47
	3.05	2.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.66 ↓ (2.75)	2.48 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Farroupilha
29.8%

Draw
33.9%

Passo Fundo
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

31.6%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

29%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Farroupilha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Passo Fundo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Farroupilha than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Passo Fundo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Passo Fundo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Clayton ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 0 - 2, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brasil Farroupilha won 1.

Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Brasil Farroupilha has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:15 (averaging 0.7:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brasil Farroupilha against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.8:1.4 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Brasil de Farroupilha - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.95%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Farroupilha
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.09.26	EC Pelotas - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - GE Bagé	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	GE Glória - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Gramadense - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - APAFUT	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWTTW
- EC Passo Fundo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.09.26	Veranopolis - Passo Fundo	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Passo Fundo - EC Guarani	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gaúcho - Passo Fundo	1:3 ✺
16.09.26	Passo Fundo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Aimoré - Passo Fundo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
06.09.26	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Farroupilha	0:1
12.06.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo	2:3
07.07.24	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Farroupilha	3:0
21.04.24	Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo	0:2
10.06.23	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:1
21.05.23	Brasil de Farroupilha - Passo Fundo	1:0
29.05.22	Passo Fundo - Brasil de Farroupilha	1:1

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