The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Passo Fundo 53.8%
Draw 29.7%
Veranopolis 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
31%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
32.8%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Passo Fundo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Passo Fundo's performance.
Veranopolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Veranopolis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Passo Fundo than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Passo Fundo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Veranopolis than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Veranopolis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.3%
10.7%
0%
Passo Fundo - Veranopolis Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Passo Fundo (3.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Passo Fundo will win
(24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Passo Fundo will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Passo Fundo (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ruan ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Vinicius Spaniol ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Medina ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Ruan (Pen),
1, Vinicius Spaniol (Pen),
2, Wesley (Pen),
2, Eduardo (Pen),
3, Romario (Pen),
3, Germano (Pen),
4, Iago (Pen),
4, Augusto (Pen),
5, Emerson (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Passo Fundo won 1.
In recent matches, Passo Fundo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Veranopolis is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Veranopolis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Passo Fundo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Passo Fundo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Passo Fundo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).