Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Real SC		Passo Fundo

	1	X	2
	6	3.4	1.52
	4.75	3.35	1.65
	4.76	3.45	1.64
	2.51	3.32	2.66	Watch
	5.69	3.36	1.6
	6.6	3.55	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↓ (6.2)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	1.76 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real SC
18.7%

Draw
27.7%

Passo Fundo
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

26.4%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

25.5%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Passo Fundo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Passo Fundo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real SC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Passo Fundo than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Passo Fundo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real SC - Passo Fundo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Real SC is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Passo Fundo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Passo Fundo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Passo Fundo has had a series of home games.

In this match, Passo Fundo is the obvious favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real SC Capão da Canoa
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
16.07.25	Frederiquense - Real SC	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Real SC - Gramadense	0:1 ✺
24.06.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Real SC	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Real SC - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:2 ✺
11.06.25	Aimoré - Real SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLLL
- EC Passo Fundo
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
16.07.25	Passo Fundo - Aimoré	0:0 ✺
13.07.25	Passo Fundo - Gaúcho	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Santa Cruz-RS - Passo Fundo	2:2 ✺
30.06.25	Passo Fundo - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Passo Fundo - Frederiquense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTWW

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