Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 27

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Pastoreo		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.46
	4.93	4.12	1.51
	6.11	4.17	1.46
	6.3	4.24	1.46
	6	3.9	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.82 ↑ (5.23)	4.05 ↑ (4)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pastoreo
15.6%

Draw
22.5%

Deportivo Recoleta
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

23%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

23.3%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pastoreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pastoreo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Pastoreo - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Benitez M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', Gonzalez D. 🟥,
90+1', 0 - 2, Espinola J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Sol de América Pastoreo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Recoleta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recoleta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Recoleta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pastoreo FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.09.24	Atlético Tembetary - Pastoreo	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Pastoreo - 12 de Junio	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Pastoreo - Fernando de la Mora	2:2 ✺
27.08.24	Guaireña - Pastoreo	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Pastoreo - Martín Ledesma	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTLL
- Deportivo Recoleta
Copa Paraguay
18.09.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	2:3 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
14.09.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Martín Ledesma - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Encarnación	2:1 ✺
28.08.24	3 de Febrero - Deportivo Recoleta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTWT

Upcoming Matches