Match Info

PARAGUAY: Division Intermedia - Round 23

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	3 de Febrero		Deportivo Recoleta

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.7	1.57
	5.09	3.75	1.62
	5.32	3.45	1.64	Watch
	5.5	3.7	1.55
	5.21	3.62	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↓ (5.57)	3.64 ↓ (4)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

3 de Febrero
17.6%

Draw
25.1%

Deportivo Recoleta
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.4%

22.8%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

21.6%

64%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

3 de Febrero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 3 de Febrero than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

3 de Febrero - Deportivo Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Monges R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 1, Baez W. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura: )).

Recent matches 3 de Febrero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recoleta is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

3 de Febrero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Recoleta is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches 3 de Febrero won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético 3 de Febrero
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
23.08.24	Atlético Tembetary - 3 de Febrero	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
21.08.24	3 de Febrero - General Caballero JLM	1:0 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
18.08.24	3 de Febrero - 12 de Junio	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Pastoreo - 3 de Febrero	0:2 ✺
04.08.24	3 de Febrero - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LWTWT
- Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.08.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Colegiales	4:2 ✺
16.08.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Deportivo Recoleta	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Independiente Asuncion	3:0 ✺
02.08.24	Resistencia - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3 ✺
28.07.24	Deportivo Recoleta - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.05.24	Deportivo Recoleta - 3 de Febrero	1:0
24.07.23	Deportivo Recoleta - 3 de Febrero	6:1

Upcoming Matches