Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Patacona		Soneja

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.25	2.1
	3.1	3.35	2.09
	3.13	3.43	2.11
	3.17	3.42	2.08	Watch
	3.21	3.36	2.18
	3.1	3.35	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.52)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)	2.11 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patacona
29.4%

Draw
27.2%

Soneja
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Soneja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Patacona - Soneja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Traver A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 2, Dominguez A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Patacona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Soneja is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Soneja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Soneja will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patacona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Patacona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.02.25	Patacona - Torrellano	1:3 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Patacona	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Patacona - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Patacona	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Patacona - Levante B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTLL
- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.03.25	Soneja - La Nucía	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Rayo Ibense - Soneja	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Soneja - Utiel	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Soneja - Castellon B	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Torrellano - Soneja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
26.10.24	Soneja - Patacona	2:1
31.03.24	Patacona - Soneja	1:1
12.11.23	Soneja - Patacona	3:1

Patacona - Soneja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide