Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 22

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Saguntino		Patacona

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.04	7.3
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)	4.04 ↓ (4.5)	7.3 ↓ (9.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
65.3%

Draw
22.3%

Patacona
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

20.3%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

19.3%

8.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Saguntino's form might have worsened.

Patacona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Saguntino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Atlético Saguntino - Patacona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Rivera M. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Perez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Saguntino is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Patacona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Patacona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Saguntino is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Saguntino to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Saguntino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.02.25	La Nucía - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Saguntino - Rayo Ibense	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Soneja - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellon B	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTWW
- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
08.02.25	Patacona - Crevillente Deportivo	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Patacona	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Patacona - Levante B	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Benidorm - Patacona	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	Roda - Patacona	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
05.10.24	Patacona - Atlético Saguntino	1:3

Atlético Saguntino - Patacona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide