Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Soneja		Castellon B

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.85	3.25	2.27
	3	3.26	2.15
	2.85	3.33	2.29	Watch
	2.69	3.31	2.53
	2.85	3.25	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.14)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)	2.32 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Soneja
32.7%

Draw
27.9%

Castellon B
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Soneja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Soneja's form might have worsened.

Castellon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellon B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Soneja than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Soneja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellon B than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellon B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Soneja - Castellon B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Traver A. (Pen),
42', 🟥,
45+1', 2 - 0, Traver A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Soneja is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellon B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Soneja will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Soneja won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1.3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Soneja won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Soneja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.02.25	Torrellano - Soneja	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Soneja - Atlético Saguntino	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Soneja - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Soneja	3:3 ✺
12.01.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Soneja	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLTW
- CD Castellón B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.02.25	Castellon B - Utiel	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Castellon B - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellon B	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Castellon B - Español de San Vicente	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Crevillente Deportivo - Castellon B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
28.09.24	Castellon B - Soneja	3:1
02.03.24	Soneja - Castellon B	1:5
25.10.23	Castellon B - Soneja	0:2

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