Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Paternò		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	2.59	3.46	2.4
	2.54	3.35	2.38
	2.6	3.4	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.57)	3.4 ↓ (3.42)	2.38 (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paternò
35.2%

Draw
26.7%

Vibonese
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

26.6%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.8%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Vibonese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Paternò - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Paternò has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vibonese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paternò won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Paternò won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15:5	10	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Paternò - Nissa	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Castrumfavara - Paternò	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Paternò - Reggina	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Milazzo - Paternò	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Paternò - Sambiase	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Acireale - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
07.09.25	Vibonese - Paternò	2:1
04.05.25	Vibonese - Paternò	1:1
19.02.23	Paternò - Vibonese	1:0
19.10.22	Vibonese - Paternò	3:4

Paternò - Vibonese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide