Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Acireale		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.54	3.26	2.54	Watch
	2.49	3.2	2.51
	2.5	3.25	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)	3.23 ↓ (3.25)	2.51 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acireale
36.1%

Draw
27.9%

Vibonese
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Vibonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Acireale - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Sasanelli L. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Keita C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acireale won 2.

Acireale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vibonese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Acireale won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Acireale won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	Ragusa - Acireale	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Nissa - Acireale	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Acireale - Castrumfavara	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Sambiase - Acireale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWLT
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
23.03.25	Vibonese - Acireale	1:1
20.11.24	Acireale - Vibonese	3:2
28.03.24	Acireale - Vibonese	1:0
19.11.23	Vibonese - Acireale	1:1
02.04.23	Vibonese - Acireale	2:0
20.11.22	Acireale - Vibonese	0:0
04.02.18	Vibonese - Acireale	1:1

Acireale - Vibonese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide