Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Razza (Vibo Valentia)


	Vibonese		Igea Virtus Barcellona

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.68
	2.02	3.29	3.24
	2.38	3.30	2.71	Watch
	2.04	3.24	3.32
	2	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.77)	3.33 ↓ (3.78)	3.06 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vibonese
42.8%

Draw
27.4%

Igea Virtus Barcellona
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

24%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

25.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vibonese's form might have worsened.

Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igea Virtus Barcellona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vibonese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Igea Virtus Barcellona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
71', 🟥,
90', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Vibonese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Igea Virtus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vibonese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vibonese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.11.25	Sancataldese - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vibonese - Vigor Lamezia	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	ACR Messina - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vibonese - Ragusa	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Savoia - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWTLL
- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
23.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Reggina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Nissa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
16.02.25	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:2
17.03.24	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vibonese	2:1
05.11.23	Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	3:0
26.11.17	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vibonese	0:1

Vibonese - Igea Virtus Barcellona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide