Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 11

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday


	Paternò		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.29	2.97	2.96
	2.2	2.9	3.1
	2.32	3.05	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.14)	2.96 ↑ (2.86)	3.05 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paternò
40%

Draw
30.5%

Castrovillari
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.4%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Castrovillari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Paternò have a series of guest games.

Paternò will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paternò won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Paternò won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Paternò 1908
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.11.22	Acireale - Paternò	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Paternò - Locri	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Mariglianese - Paternò	1:3 ✺
26.10.22	Trapani - Paternò	3:1 ✺
19.10.22	Vibonese - Paternò	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWLW
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.11.22	Castrovillari - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1 ✺
23.10.22	Castrovillari - Real Agro Aversa	1:1 ✺
19.10.22	Mariglianese - Castrovillari	0:3 ✺
16.10.22	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Catania - Castrovillari	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
16.02.22	Castrovillari - Paternò	0:0
10.10.21	Paternò - Castrovillari	2:2
24.02.21	Castrovillari - Paternò	0:1

Paternò - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide