Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 24

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Pathum United		Chonburi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.62	3.55	4.55	Watch
	1.71	3.91	4.83
	1.64	3.7	4.82	Watch
	1.67	3.4	4.33
	1.69	3.65	4.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.56)	3.64 ↓ (3.96)	4.7 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
55.2%

Draw
25.2%

Chonburi
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

22.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Chonburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chonburi than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Pathum United - Chonburi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Anuin S. (G) 2. Nonthasila S. 44. Dolah E. 18. Songkrasin C. 33. Sangvilay P. 31. Takagi Y. 5. Kaman K. (C) 27. Jantawong P. 3. Ose T. 99. bin Fandi Ahmad I. 7. Raniel	1. Mendoza K. (G) 10. Promsrikaew C. (C) 23. Channgom S. 2. Kike Linares 37. Sayriya N. 14. Tabinas J. 8. Burapha Y. 28. Darko R. 88. Queven 17. Bolingi J. 99. van Lingen O.
Substitutes
14. Doi T. 11. Gustavsson P. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 22. James N. 95. Matheus Fornazari 15. Matsuda R. 17. Notsuda G. 8. Panya E. 16. Sandokhadze N. 9. Sareepim S. 47. Wongsawang N. 6. Yooyen S.	19. Arango E. 30. Biesamrit N. 20. Bunta S. 11. Eisa A. 46. Kadtoon N. (G) 9. Kraisorn A. 87. Panthong T. (G) 3. Rueangthanarot C. 31. Seaisakul P. 36. Sujarit T. 80. Tapsuvanavon C. 21. Wandee S.
Coaches
Vujovic V.	Viwatchaichok R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Kaman K. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Raniel ⚽, Songkrasin C. (A),
24', Bolingi J. 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Tabinas J. ⚽, van Lingen O. (A),
37', Kike Linares 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Takagi Y. ↓, Panya E. ↑,
49', Panya E. 🟨,
53', bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↓, Doi T. ↑,
53', Jantawong P. ↓, Notsuda G. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Promsrikaew C. ⚽, Burapha Y. (A),
71', Doi T. 🟨,
71', Promsrikaew C. ↓, Wandee S. ↑,
71', Sangvilay P. ↓, Sandokhadze N. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Channgom S. ⚽, Queven (A),
81', Ose T. ↓, Sareepim S. ↑,
85', Channgom S. ↓, Sujarit T. ↑,
85', van Lingen O. ↓, Kraisorn A. ↑,
86', Nonthasila S. 🟨,
87', Sujarit T. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Panya E. ⚽, Notsuda G. (A),
90+7', Burapha Y. ↓, Seaisakul P. ↑,
90+7', Queven ↓, Tapsuvanavon C. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 3.

Recent performances by Pathum United have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chonburi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pathum United is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:11. (average 1.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Pathum United	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4
16	Chonburi	3	0	0	3	2:5	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
01.03.26	Pathum United - Sukhothai	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pathum United - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
04.02.26	Selangor FA - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
31.01.26	Pathum United - Chiangrai United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLTT
- Chonburi FC
Thai League 1
28.02.26	Chonburi - Ayutthaya United	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Chiangrai United - Chonburi	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Chonburi - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Chonburi - Thai Port	3:2 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Lamphun Warriors - Chonburi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
02.11.25	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:2
20.04.24	Pathum United - Chonburi	1:1
Thai League Cup
13.03.24	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:4
Thai FA Cup
20.12.23	Chonburi - Pathum United	3:2 penalties
Thai League 1
25.11.23	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:3
12.05.23	Pathum United - Chonburi	1:0
31.08.22	Chonburi - Pathum United	1:0

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