Match Info

Thai League 1 - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: BG Stadium (Pathum Thani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Pathum United		Sukhothai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.29	4.85	7.7	Watch
	1.33	5.28	8.48
	1.31	4.97	8.14	Watch
	1.3	4.5	7.5
	1.28	4.8	8.9	Watch
	1.33	4.6	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	4.83 ↑ (4.33)	8.04 ↑ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pathum United
69.8%

Draw
18.9%

Sukhothai
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.2%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

20.2%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pathum United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pathum United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Pathum United - Sukhothai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Anuin S. (G) 31. Takagi Y. 9. Sareepim S. 44. Dolah E. 16. Sandokhadze N. 5. Kaman K. (C) 81. Choolthong W. 8. Panya E. 33. Sangvilay P. 7. Raniel 99. bin Fandi Ahmad I.	99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 93. Claudio 15. Promsupa S. 25. Otton C. 5. Romeu 95. Barreto 7. Thiamrat L. (C) 27. Thumporn T. 10. Baggio J. 11. Gildo
Substitutes
89. Buaphan C. 11. Gustavsson P. 49. Inthacharoen N. (G) 22. James N. 27. Jantawong P. 95. Matheus Fornazari 15. Matsuda R. 2. Nonthasila S. 24. Pimoytha T. 18. Songkrasin C. 47. Wongsawang N. 6. Yooyen S.	8. Aranpiroj R. 35. Chatthong S. 21. Denman A. 24. Jansuwan P. 39. Jantrapho A. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 70. Mateusinho 17. Mhuaddarak T. 9. Paredes J. 19. Phatthaphon P. 28. Samerjai T. (G) 3. Suksakit P.
Coaches
Vujovic V.	Ueathanaphaisarn R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, bin Fandi Ahmad I. ⚽, Raniel (A),
23', 2 - 0, bin Fandi Ahmad I. ⚽,
40', Thiamrat L. ↓, Mhuaddarak T. ↑,
45+3', 2 - 1, Otton C. ⚽, Gildo (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', bin Fandi Ahmad I. ↓, Yooyen S. ↑,
46', Logarwit S. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
51', Claudio 🟨,
52', Sareepim S. 🟨,
61', Sareepim S. ↓, Jantawong P. ↑,
62', Gildo ↓, Chatthong S. ↑,
67', Takagi Y. ↓, Songkrasin C. ↑,
77', Barreto ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
85', Yooyen S. 🟨,
89', Choolthong W. ↓, Nonthasila S. ↑,
90', Panya E. ↓, Gustavsson P. ↑,
90+5', Thumporn T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 3.

Pathum United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sukhothai's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pathum United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pathum United is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pathum United won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 2.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Pathum United won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 3.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Pathum United	3	1	1	1	5:5	0	4
12	Sukhothai	3	1	0	2	3:5	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Pathum United
Thai League 1
22.02.26	Ayutthaya United - Pathum United	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Pathum United - Buriram United	1:3 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
04.02.26	Selangor FA - Pathum United	1:1 ✺
Thai League 1
31.01.26	Pathum United - Chiangrai United	2:2 ✺
ASEAN Club Championship
28.01.26	Pathum United - Cebu FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTW
- Sukhothai FC
Thai League 1
21.02.26	Buriram United - Sukhothai	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Sukhothai - Ayutthaya United	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sukhothai - Uthai Thani	1:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
28.01.26	Thap Luang United - Sukhothai	1:0 ✺
Thai League 1
25.01.26	Lamphun Warriors - Sukhothai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
26.10.25	Sukhothai - Pathum United	3:1
27.04.25	Pathum United - Sukhothai	4:4
10.08.24	Sukhothai - Pathum United	1:3
09.03.24	Pathum United - Sukhothai	7:1
07.10.23	Sukhothai - Pathum United	1:2
22.04.23	Sukhothai - Pathum United	2:0
09.11.22	Pathum United - Sukhothai	0:1

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