Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Deportes Quindío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.88	3.9
	2.08	2.97	4.04
	2.09	2.89	4.08
	2.05	2.7	3.75
	2.02	2.84	3.97	Watch
	2.42	2.71	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.42)	2.83 ↑ (2.71)	3.71 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
43.1%

Draw
32.3%

Deportes Quindío
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

32.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patriotas's performance.

Deportes Quindío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Quindío might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patriotas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Quindío than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Quindío could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Patriotas - Deportes Quindío Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Patriotas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Deportes Quindío will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Patriotas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espitia J. (G)
10. Alvarez K.
17. Angulo H.
7. Campana J.
2. Carabali
19. Figueroa F.
30. Gomez M.
27. Mora A.
3. Palomeque D.
22. Porras A.
5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. (C)
Substitutes
13. Alfonso D.
1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G)
9. Fernandez B.
4. Hurtado J.
16. Molina T.
14. Montes J.
33. Pacheco T.
28. Salguero Zapata C. S.
6. Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Javier Reina 🟨,
33', Carabali 🟨,
36', Angulo H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mora A. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
50', Roa S. 🟨,
56', Palomeque D. 🟨,
65', Carabali R. A. F. ↓, Esterilla E. ↑,
65', Marin R. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
69', Gomez M. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
69', Figueroa F. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
70', Campana J. 🟨,
77', Fernandez B. 🟨,
77', Pabon S. 🟨,
77', Salazar Sandoval K. A. 🟨,
84', Javier Reina ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
85', Lloreda J. 🟨,
86', Campana J. 🟨,
89', Alvarez K. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
89', Angulo Satizabal R. ↓, Arango W. ↑,
89', Lloreda J. ↓, Ibarguen J. P. ↑,
90+5', Palomeque D. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3.

Recent performances by Patriotas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Deportes Quindío is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Patriotas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17
6	Quindio	11	4	4	3	9:8	1	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
06.03.26	Tigres - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Patriotas - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTLT
- Deportes Quindío
Colombian Primera B
05.03.26	Real Santander - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Envigado - Deportes Quindío	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Deportes Quindío - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
17.08.25	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	2:0
09.03.25	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	0:1
29.08.23	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	1:2
13.03.23	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	1:0
Colombian Primera A
14.11.21	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	0:3
01.09.13	Patriotas - Deportes Quindío	3:0
31.03.13	Deportes Quindío - Patriotas	0:0

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