Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Patriotas		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.5
	1.78	3.1	4.75
	1.83	3.27	4.7
	1.82	2.99	5.39
	1.75	2.9	4.8
	1.77	3.28	5.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.78)	3.11 ↓ (3.17)	4.86 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patriotas
51.5%

Draw
29.6%

Real Cundinamarca
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

28.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

29.5%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Espitia J. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 17. Angulo H. 7. Campana J. 2. Carabali 19. Figueroa F. 30. Gomez M. 27. Mora A. 3. Palomeque D. 22. Porras A. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A. (C)	33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. (C) 27. Amaya J. 5. Cabezas E. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 30. Cuero Fabian 8. Gomez C. 3. Moreno S. 7. Salcedo J. 11. Valencia Y.
Substitutes
13. Alfonso D. 1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 18. Angulo J. 9. Fernandez B. 16. Molina T. 15. Ordonez D. 11. Perea J. 28. Salguero Zapata C. S. 29. Sanchez J.	21. Alba J. 35. Barrios L. 6. Hoyos J. 12. Mosquera D. (G) 9. Negrete C. 31. Suaza J. 14. Zavala K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cuellar K. ↓, Barrios L. ↑,
52', Palomeque D. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
66', Campana J. 🟨,
71', Gomez M. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
75', Salazar Sandoval K. A. 🟨,
78', Salcedo J. ↓, Negrete C. ↑,
78', Angulo H. ↓, Salguero Zapata C. S. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Campana J. ⚽,
89', Figueroa F. ↓, Alfonso D. ↑,
89', Campana J. ↓, Molina T. ↑,
89', Zavala K. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Patriotas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Patriotas is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Patriotas won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Patriotas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
20.02.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Patriotas - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Barranquilla - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Patriotas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLW
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
22.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
23.11.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	0:3
01.11.25	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	1:0
08.09.25	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	0:1
21.07.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	2:1
04.06.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	0:1
01.06.25	Real Cundinamarca - Patriotas	0:1
29.03.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	0:1

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