Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Tigres		Patriotas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	3	1.98
	3.95	2.98	2
	4.38	3.12	1.93
	3.95	2.89	2.13
	4	2.8	1.91
	5.01	2.88	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.6)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres
22.3%

Draw
31.2%

Patriotas
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.9%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tigres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Tigres - Patriotas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Patriotas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Patriotas will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 9. Aragon O. 3. Cano J. 13. Cuadros A. 2. Florez S. 8. Mejia B. 10. Mosquera K. 11. Palacios L. 27. Preciado O. 15. Quinones J. 18. Viafara D.	12. Espitia J. (G) 10. Alvarez K. 17. Angulo H. 7. Campana J. 2. Carabali 19. Figueroa F. 30. Gomez M. 27. Mora A. 3. Palomeque D. 22. Porras A. 5. Salazar Sandoval K. A.
Substitutes
17. Alvarez M. 24. Arias J. 19. Arrechea E. 7. Hincapie Gomez J. F. 21. Lopera J. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 29. Palacios S. 26. Parra G. 30. Rosales R.	1. Amaya Garcia J. A. (G) 18. Angulo J. 9. Fernandez B. 4. Hurtado J. 14. Montes J. 33. Pacheco T. 28. Salguero Zapata C. S. 29. Sanchez J. 24. Sarmiento J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Viafara D. 🟨,
21', Mejia B. 🟨,
34', Porras A. 🟨,
44', Preciado O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Cano J. 🟨,
61', Mosquera K. ↓, Hincapie Gomez J. F. ↑,
63', Mora A. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
63', Campana J. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
63', Gomez M. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Alvarez K. ⚽,
76', Quinones J. ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
84', Brid Arroyo V. M. 🟨,
85', Sanchez J. 🟨,
86', Cuadros A. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
86', Salazar Sandoval K. A. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
90+2', Figueroa F. ↓, Salguero Zapata C. S. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Palacios L. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1.

Tigres is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Patriotas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Patriotas is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:16. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21
5	Patriotas	11	5	2	4	17:17	0	17

Last Results with these Odds

Patriotas - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.6%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
02.03.26	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Unión Magdalena - Tigres	3:1 ✺
16.02.26	Tigres - Independiente Valle del Cauca	1:3 ✺
09.02.26	Envigado - Tigres	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Tigres - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLLTL
- Patriotas FC
Colombian Primera B
28.02.26	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Patriotas - Bogotá	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Barranquilla - Patriotas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
06.10.25	Tigres - Patriotas	2:3
28.04.25	Patriotas - Tigres	2:0
11.10.23	Patriotas - Tigres	4:0
13.05.23	Tigres - Patriotas	0:2
Colombian Copa
06.04.22	Tigres - Patriotas	1:0
30.03.22	Patriotas - Tigres	0:0
Colombian Primera A
21.07.17	Tigres - Patriotas	0:2

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