Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation - Final

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Patrostadion (Maasmechelen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1


	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.37
	3.05	3.25	2.35	Watch
	3.14	3.35	2.31
	3.17	3.33	2.3	Watch
	3.03	3.57	2.38	Watch
	3.05	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.55)	3.35 ↓ (3.5)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
31.2%

Draw
28.2%

Cercle Brugge
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

24.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patro Eisden Maasmechelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belin J. (G) 17. Che J. 14. Renson J. (C) 4. Borry K. 3. Kis K. 29. Pietermaat T. 8. Peeters S. 7. Van Eenoo L. 48. Abid A. 30. Bammens S. 90. Kiankaulua V.	1. Warleson (G) 5. Perrin L. 66. Ravych C. 3. Utkus E. 15. Magnee G. 17. Francis A. 6. Agyekum L. 20. Nazinho 34. Somers T. 10. Felipe Augusto 13. Brunner P.
Substitutes
11. Dansoko B. 6. Dijkhuizen H. 1. Gelade G. (G) 81. Mabanza V. R. 45. Ndior P. 52. Sarfo R. 40. Simba W. 99. van Landschoot J. 20. Wilmots R.	30. Bruninho 21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 2. Diakite I. 7. Efekele M. 23. Jurado H. 11. Minda A. 77. Ngoura S. 28. van der Bruggen H.
Coaches
Stijnen S.	Storck B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Agyekum L. ⚽, Felipe Augusto (A),
25', 0 - 2, Brunner P. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
45+5', Utkus E. ↓, Diakite I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Agyekum L. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Brunner P. ⚽, Felipe Augusto (A),
57', Pietermaat T. 🟨,
58', 0 - 4, Felipe Augusto ⚽,
65', Kiankaulua V. ↓, van Landschoot J. ↑,
65', Pietermaat T. ↓, Wilmots R. ↑,
73', Nazinho ↓, Minda A. ↑,
73', Francis A. ↓, van der Bruggen H. ↑,
74', Felipe Augusto ↓, Efekele M. ↑,
78', Bammens S. 🟨,
78', Renson J. 🟨,
79', Van Eenoo L. ↓, Mabanza V. R. ↑,
84', 0 - 5, Somers T. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Mabanza V. R. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Eisden has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cercle Brugge's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cercle Brugge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Miangue S. (Knee Injury) Ouattara A. K. (Broken Leg)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Eisden won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Eisden won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.05.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Lokeren - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Beveren - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Beveren	3:2 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
18.04.25	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Eupen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWWW
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Cercle Brugge	4:2 ✺
03.05.25	Cercle Brugge - Kortrijk	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge	3:1 ✺
05.04.25	Cercle Brugge - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
29.01.16	Cercle Brugge - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1:1
19.09.15	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Cercle Brugge	0:1

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