Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden)

Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Sint-Truidense		Cercle Brugge

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	1.88	3.9	3.65	Watch
	1.94	4.04	3.85
	1.88	4.01	3.68	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.6
	1.9	3.91	3.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	3.86 ↑ (3.83)	3.7 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
49.9%

Draw
24.5%

Cercle Brugge
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

24.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Sint Truidense - Cercle Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sint-Truidense: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Sint-Truidense (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kokubo L. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 5. Taniguchi S. (C) 4. Mbe Soh L. 3. Hata T. 6. Yamamoto R. 13. Ito R. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 42. Goto K. 10. Sebaoui I.	1. Warleson (G) 15. Magnee G. 5. Kakou E. 24. Kondo G. 12. Valy K. 6. Agyekum L. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 18. Gerkens P. 37. Diop E. 13. Vanzeir D. 17. Adewumi O.
Substitutes
77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 21. Lendfers M. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 14. Merlen R. 26. Musliu V. 23. Pupe J.	33. Caicedo R. 21. Delanghe M. (G) 27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 2. Diakite I. 10. Diakite O. 23. Jurado H. 41. Kouassi K. 9. Ngoura S.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Cinel O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Muja A. ⚽, Hata T. (A),
40', Agyekum L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Diop E. ⚽,
64', Vanzeir D. ↓, Diakite O. ↑,
74', Diakite O. 🟨,
74', Yamamoto R. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
74', Sebaoui I. ↓, Merlen R. ↑,
77', Agyekum L. ↓, Ngoura S. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Matsuzawa K. ⚽,
85', Valy K. 🟨,
86', van der Bruggen H. ↓, Jurado H. ↑,
86', Adewumi O. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
90+2', Ngoura S. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cercle Brugge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sint-Truidense could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Erick Nunes (Coach's decision) Kouassi K. (Eye injury) Nazinho (Yellow Cards) Ouattara A. K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Musliu V. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Herrmann C. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sint-Truidense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8
17	Cercle Brugge KSV	8	0	3	5	9:16	-7	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.02.26	Royal Antwerp - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dender EH - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
15.02.26	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Westerlo - Sint-Truidense	0:4 ✺
31.01.26	Sint-Truidense - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL
- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.26	Cercle Brugge - Dender EH	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gent - Cercle Brugge	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Cercle Brugge - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	3:4 ✺
31.01.26	Cercle Brugge - Royal Antwerp	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1
26.04.25	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	3:1
12.04.25	Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge	3:1
27.12.24	Sint-Truidense - Cercle Brugge	1:1
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	0:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1
04.02.24	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	4:1

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