Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 12

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday


	Patrocinense		Operário MS

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	7.75
	1.31	4.25	8.5
	1.35	3.99	8.47
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.36	4.25	8.6
	1.33	4.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.55)	4.17 ↑ (3.45)	8.22 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patrocinense
67.3%

Draw
21.7%

Operário MS
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26.5%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

25.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrocinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Patrocinense's performance.

Operário MS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patrocinense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Patrocinense - Operário MS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

Recent matches Patrocinense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário MS has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Patrocinense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Patrocinense is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patrocinense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Patrocinense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
02.07.23	FC Cascavel - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
24.06.23	Maringá - Patrocinense	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Patrocinense - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Piracicaba - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
10.06.23	Patrocinense - Piracicaba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLWTW
- Operário MS
Brazilian Serie D
01.07.23	Operário MS - Maringá	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Operário MS - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Internacional de Limeira - Operário MS	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Operário MS - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:2 ✺
10.06.23	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Operário MS	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
21.05.23	Operário MS - Patrocinense	1:1
09.06.19	Operário MS - Patrocinense	1:2
05.05.19	Patrocinense - Operário MS	2:1

Patrocinense - Operário MS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide