Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 12

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday


	Patrocinense		Pouso Alegre

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.46	3.27	1.96
	3.43	3.31	2.02	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.91
	3.46	3.15	2.04
	3.5	3.2	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↑ (3.4)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Patrocinense
26.1%

Draw
28.4%

Pouso Alegre
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.5%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

21.2%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Pouso Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patrocinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pouso Alegre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Pouso Alegre is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Patrocinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Patrocinense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Serie D
30.06.24	Maringá - Patrocinense	4:0 ✺
23.06.24	Costa Rica - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	Patrocinense - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
12.06.24	São José-SP - Patrocinense	6:0 ✺
08.06.24	Patrocinense - São José-SP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLW
- Pouso Alegre FC
Brazilian Serie D
29.06.24	Pouso Alegre - Costa Rica	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Pouso Alegre - Maringá	0:1 ✺
17.06.24	Água Santa - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
11.06.24	Pouso Alegre - Santo André	1:1 ✺
08.06.24	Santo André - Pouso Alegre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.05.24	Pouso Alegre - Patrocinense	4:1
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
02.03.24	Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre	0:1
04.02.23	Pouso Alegre - Patrocinense	3:2
06.03.22	Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre	0:1
11.04.21	Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre	1:1

Patrocinense - Pouso Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide