Match Info

Date: 20 July 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Comesana L. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Tigre

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.62
	2.7	3	2.65
	2.8	3	2.6
	2.75	3.05	2.55
	2.92	3.13	2.69
	2.81	3.14	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)	3.09 ↑ (3)	2.63 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
33.7%

Draw
30.5%

Tigre
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

31.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.6%	32.4%	18.9%

Patronato Parana - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%). Tigre will win (votes: 7 - 18.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Patronato: 32.5% – 64.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 18).

Patronato has the most likely position - 23 (100%), has project points - 25, has currently - 25, has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 33, very small importance 2, small match rating 18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Patronato is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tigre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tigre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Patronato: Vazquez F. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patronato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.07.22	Central Córdoba - Patronato Parana	1:3 ✺
09.07.22	Patronato Parana - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
04.07.22	Newells Old Boys - Patronato Parana	2:2 ✺
27.06.22	Patronato Parana - Independiente	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.06.22	Patronato Parana - Colón	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTWW
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.07.22	Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
11.07.22	Argentinos Juniors - Tigre	2:1 ✺
02.07.22	Tigre - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	San Lorenzo - Tigre	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Tigre - Banfield	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.02.19	Tigre - Patronato Parana	2:1
15.09.17	Tigre - Patronato Parana	1:3
18.06.17	Patronato Parana - Tigre	0:2

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